PDF Ebook How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking
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How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking
PDF Ebook How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking
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Audible Audiobook
Listening Length: 13 hours and 29 minutes
Program Type: Audiobook
Version: Unabridged
Publisher: Penguin Audio
Audible.com Release Date: May 30, 2014
Whispersync for Voice: Ready
Language: English, English
ASIN: B00KO83PMS
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
The item that attracted me to this book is the chapter one discussion of a comment on Obamacare by the Cato institute that says Sweden is backing off on the benefits and high taxes of their healthcare system so why would the U.S. duplicate their mistakes? The author then constructs a graph, a view of the world from the perspective of the conservative Cato Institute. It shows "Swedishness" along the horizontal axis and "prosperity" along the vertical axis. The line thereon is straight, going from upper left "Libertopia" to lower right "Black Pit of Socialism". Along this line is shown a dot for USA toward the top and a dot for Sweden toward the bottom.Then the author introduces the idea that the curve is should not be a straight line, it should be an inverted parabola with the USA market on the left side approaching the peak which represents and optimum combination of benefits and costs and the Swedes having passed that point and needing to back up. An entirely different message all together! He moves into the famous mainstay of Reagan Republicans (and the Ferris Buhler's Day Off movie as a soul crushing lecture) known as the Laffer curve which compares revenues vs. tax rates. And we're off! And the first part of the book held my interest and moved right along.While the second half got into some interesting topics like the role of adding a third choice to a race between two candidates and the resulting fiascoes versus the "true will of the people" a la Ralph Nader and Ross Porot and some discussion of correlation and regression to the mean, the author begins to digress into the history of mathematics and becomes quite wearisome and plodding. So, some highs, some lows, pretty much an average read in my opinion.
I’ve been working on this one for a long time. How Not to Be Wrong was a hard book for me — a mental boot-camp in which I spent about six months groaning with the weight of one concept, only be handed two more. The fact that I finally made it to the end of the book, a gasping, sweaty, much improved human being, is down entirely to Jordan Ellenberg’s supreme skill as a teacher.How Not to Be Wrong shunts the reader smoothly and with refreshing humor between geometry, military history, computer science, politics, statistics, gambling, medicine, morality, and philosophy. I emerged at the end shaking with not only a wealth of new information about all these stops on the rail, but with the conviction than now I know what they’re for. Science doesn’t tell you what you ought to believe; it tells you what you ought to do. We don’t vote to determine the best leader; we vote to give everyone an excuse to continue not committing crimes. The best way to treat your most cherished beliefs is by attempting to disprove them.I know that all sounds like nonsense, but I honestly can’t think of a more concise or convincing way to talk about Ellenberg’s insights than the book that he wrote. Start with plotting a line, and end with the reason you get up in the morning.
I really enjoy this genre of books. I am an engineer and have often been disappointed with most adult Americans who are not well educated is basic everyday mathematics-oriented life. Probabilities and statistics are elementary needs if one is to understand today's world. Even Newspapers such as the Washington Post, the New York Times, Atlanta Constitution, LA Times, and many more run articles that are missing data to support their positions. Where are the editorial staffs? Well-written, valuable book.
This book is a revelation...remarkably informative and well written. Given today's broad range of choices for self-improvement activities, reading "How Not to be Wrong" will not disappoint. You may not loose weight, increase your memory or learn to speak Mandarin, but you will learn how to better judge the claims made by those who would promise such benefits, and much, much more. Such a treasure should never be ignored. Quick! Get a copy and see the world around you, from election results to sports stats to claims of medical benefits, in a new and richer light. But be forewarned: you may find yourself glancing through your college math texts again!
I bought this book to be used in addition to my college coursework. This book's explanations and examples helped reinforce what I had learned in class by applying the lessons to real world scenarios. For example, my stats professors like to test our knowledge by asking us about the results of some random study; we look at the numbers from the study and decide whether or not they are valid. In our final exam, one question involved a study that attempted to predict how many goals a hockey player was able to make in a given season. I remembered Ellenberg's explanation of "the hot hand" in the NBA and I was able to grind the hockey study into dust. I not only aced the exam, but my professor wrote an email saying that no student had dissected this study so thoroughly. I also passed one of our hardest homework assignments by successfully arguing that the study we had performed was "torturing the data", and we did not really have significant results. All of this information was before the half-way point of the book. There's so much more to learn.I recently graduated, and I still listen to this audio book because the information is so rich and varied. It's a really easy way to keep your general skills sharp. This books isn't full of numbers and symbols, so I wouldn't recommend it for people who need to learn the actual math.
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